Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 48%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 48% ( | 23.94% | 28.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.1% ( | 43.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.71% ( | 66.29% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.57% ( | 18.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.4% ( | 49.6% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.02% ( | 28.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.13% ( | 64.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 2-0 @ 7.64% ( 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 3-0 @ 4.31% ( 3-2 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 4-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.46% Total : 48% | 1-1 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 3-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.94% | 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0-1 @ 6.61% 0-2 @ 4.1% ( 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0-3 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 3.44% Total : 28.05% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 33 | 21 | 11 | 1 | 58 | 19 | 39 | 74 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 61 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 46 | 30 | 56 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 54 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 48 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 33 | 14 | 5 | 14 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 47 |
| 7 | Montrose | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 45 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 36 |
| 9 | Clyde | 33 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 20 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 33 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 16 | 78 | -62 | 15 |
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