Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 17.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.16%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Shanghai Shenhua win it was 1-0 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.