Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Luneng Taishan win with a probability of 52.71%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Luneng Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
