Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 47.05%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 26.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.04%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Shanghai Shenhua win it was 1-0 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.