Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 18.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.