MX23RW : Sunday, November 13 08:47:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
Jul 6, 2022 at 12.30pm UK at Development Area Stadium
Changchun
1 - 2
Shandong
Negrao (19')
Liao (45'), Pengfei (52')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Crysan (15'), Chen (87')
Crysan (30'), Jin (77')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Shandong Taishan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Changchun Yatai 0-2 Shandong Taishan

Shandong Taishan have hit the ground running in the new campaign and will be looking to establish themselves in the upper echelons of the table. Looking at past results between the sides, we are backing them to extend their dominance over the hosts, who have managed just one win in their last seven outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.

Result
Changchun YataiDrawShandong Taishan
35.25% (0.331 0.33) 27.51% (1.015 1.02) 37.25% (-1.344 -1.34)
Both teams to score 49.28% (-3.185 -3.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.6% (-4.033 -4.03)56.4% (4.035 4.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.59% (-3.361 -3.36)77.41% (3.364 3.36)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.59% (-1.777 -1.78)30.41% (1.781 1.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.39% (-2.169 -2.17)66.62% (2.172 2.17)
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.82% (-2.697 -2.7)29.18% (2.701 2.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.88% (-3.45 -3.45)65.12% (3.455 3.46)
Score Analysis
    Changchun Yatai 35.24%
    Shandong Taishan 37.25%
    Draw 27.51%
Changchun YataiDrawShandong Taishan
1-0 @ 10.56% (1.078 1.08)
2-1 @ 7.74% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-0 @ 6.29% (0.357 0.36)
3-1 @ 3.07% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.29 -0.29)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 35.24%
1-1 @ 13.01% (0.41 0.41)
0-0 @ 8.87% (1.292 1.29)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.465 -0.47)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 10.93% (0.86 0.86)
1-2 @ 8.01% (-0.358 -0.36)
0-2 @ 6.73% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.29% (-0.418 -0.42)
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.201 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.361 -0.36)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.219 -0.22)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 37.25%

How you voted: Changchun vs Shandong

Changchun Yatai
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
Shandong Taishan
80.0%
5
Head to Head
Jun 16, 2022 12.30pm
Shandong
4-0
Changchun
Liu (38' og.), Jin (55'), Moises (57', 77')
Jin (50')

Negrao (25')
Jan 4, 2022 7.30am
Changchun
1-1
Shandong
Li (26')
Okore (30')
Delgado (67')
Wang (82')
Dec 22, 2021 12pm
Shandong
2-1
Changchun
Delgado (78'), Guo (90+1')
Moises (21'), Jadson (29')
Lima (51')
Li (21'), Tudi (26'), Lima (35'), Qi (44')
Nov 2, 2018 11.35am
Shandong
2-0
Changchun
Yang (36'), Gil (42')
Haibin (90')

Xiaodong (19'), Tiancheng (90')
Jul 21, 2018 11am
Changchun
1-2
Shandong
Ighalo (24')
Shouting (44'), Guang (85'), Fan (90')
Pelle (47'), Pejcinovic (67' og.)
Lin (4'), Chi (15'), Jingdao (26')
rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shandong TaishanShandong25202360194162
2Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT24192369195059
3Shanghai PortShanghai Port24144638182046
4Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang24119439201942
5Chengdu Qianbao2511953325842
6Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua2511953124742
7Henan Songshan LongmenHenan24124840251540
8Meizhou Hakka2511773629740
9Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan2411763934540
10Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen25105103731635
11Changchun YataiChangchun2571083535031
12Dalian ProDalian Pro2477103239-728
13Shenzhen2483132644-1827
14Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou2468102936-726
15WuhanWuhan2463152647-2118
16Guangzhou CityGuangzhou City2543182148-2715
17Guangzhou2434171745-2813
18HebeiHebei2510241282-700

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