

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 18.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Maritimo |
| 57.46% ( | 24.07% ( | 18.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.04% ( | 53.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.6% ( | 75.4% ( |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.38% ( | 18.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.09% ( | 49.9% ( |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.62% ( | 43.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.39% ( | 79.6% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 13.57% ( 2-0 @ 11.41% 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 3-0 @ 6.4% ( 3-1 @ 5.34% ( 4-0 @ 2.69% ( 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 5-0 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 57.45% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 2-2 @ 3.98% ( Other @ 0.68% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 1-2 @ 4.74% 0-2 @ 2.82% ( 1-3 @ 1.32% ( 2-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 1.75% Total : 18.47% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 30 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 71 | 17 | 54 | 77 |
| 2 | Braga | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 71 |
| 3 | Porto | 29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 70 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 61 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 48 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 44 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
| 8 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
| 9 | Vizela | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 39 |
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 37 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 33 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 25 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 22 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 20 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 16 |
| > Full Version | |||||||||
