Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 81.72%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 7.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.75%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.