

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 67.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 13.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 13.39% | 18.63% | 67.97% |
| Both teams to score 51.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.66% | 40.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.29% | 62.71% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.17% | 41.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.71% | 78.29% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.12% | 10.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.99% | 35.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 1-0 @ 3.97% 2-1 @ 3.83% 2-0 @ 1.73% 3-2 @ 1.24% 3-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.51% Total : 13.39% | 1-1 @ 8.8% 0-0 @ 4.55% 2-2 @ 4.25% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.63% | 0-2 @ 11.19% 0-1 @ 10.09% 1-2 @ 9.76% 0-3 @ 8.28% 1-3 @ 7.22% 0-4 @ 4.59% 1-4 @ 4% 2-3 @ 3.15% 0-5 @ 2.04% 1-5 @ 1.78% 2-4 @ 1.75% Other @ 4.12% Total : 67.96% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | NantesNantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Metz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | MonacoMonaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Reims | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
