Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 51.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 23.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.61%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
