Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 51.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 22.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Lorient |
| 51.75% | 25.82% | 22.43% |
| Both teams to score 46.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.97% | 56.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.89% | 77.11% |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.29% | 21.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.13% | 54.86% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.7% | 40.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.07% | 76.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 13.36% 2-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 5.2% 3-1 @ 4.72% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-0 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.8% Other @ 3.05% Total : 51.74% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 8.75% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 7.95% 1-2 @ 5.52% 0-2 @ 3.61% 1-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.28% 0-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.31% Total : 22.43% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 47 |
| 2 | Lens | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 44 |
| 3 | Marseille | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 16 | 23 | 42 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 37 |
| 5 | Rennes | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 37 | 22 | 15 | 37 |
| 6 | Lorient | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Lille | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
| 8 | Clermont | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 28 |
| 9 | Lyon | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 25 |
| 10 | Nice | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 25 |
| 11 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 23 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 21 |
| 14 | Troyes | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 18 |
| 15 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 17 |
| 16 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 15 |
| 17 | Brest | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
| 18 | Ajaccio | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 34 | -18 | 15 |
| 19 | Auxerre | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 41 | -25 | 13 |
| 20 | Angers | 19 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 17 | 41 | -24 | 8 |
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