Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 50.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
