Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
