Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Ayr United |
| 41.71% ( | 23.98% | 34.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.04% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.77% ( | 41.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.37% ( | 63.62% ( |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80% ( | 20% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.81% ( | 52.18% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.29% ( | 23.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.17% ( | 57.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Ayr United |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 1-0 @ 7.63% ( 2-0 @ 6.14% ( 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 4-0 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 41.71% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0-0 @ 4.74% ( 3-3 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 1-3 @ 3.79% ( 2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 2-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.99% Total : 34.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 54 |
| 2 | Dundee | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 50 |
| 3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 45 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 43 |
| 6 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 39 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 28 |
| 9 | Cove Rangers | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 26 |
| 10 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 25 |
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