Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 36.1%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers | 
| 36.1% (  -0.04) | 28.07% (  0.02) | 35.84% (  0.02) | 
| Both teams to score 47.61% (  -0.04) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 41.51% (  -0.05) | 58.49% (  0.06) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 20.93% (  -0.04) | 79.07% (  0.05) | 
| Colchester United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.08% (  -0.05) | 30.92% (  0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.79% (  -0.06) | 67.21% (  0.06) | 
| Tranmere Rovers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.91% (  -0.01) | 31.09% (  0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.59% (  -0.02) | 67.41% (  0.02) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Colchester United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers | 
| 1-0 @ 11.28% (  0.01) 2-1 @ 7.74% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.62% (  -0) 3-1 @ 3.03% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.59% (  -0) 3-2 @ 1.77% (  -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.1% | 1-1 @ 13.18% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 9.61% (  0.02) 2-2 @ 4.52% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.06% | 0-1 @ 11.23% (  0.02) 1-2 @ 7.7% 0-2 @ 6.56% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 3% (  -0) 0-3 @ 2.56% (  0) 2-3 @ 1.76% (  -0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 35.84% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Leyton Orient | 43 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 29 | 29 | 87 | 
| 2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 44 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 60 | 40 | 20 | 80 | 
| 3 | Stevenage | 43 | 21 | 13 | 9 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 76 | 
| 4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 75 | 
| 5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 44 | 20 | 15 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 75 | 
| 6 | Salford City | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 69 | 51 | 18 | 72 | 
| 7 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 72 | 
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 72 | 
| 9 | BarrowBarrow | 44 | 18 | 8 | 18 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 62 | 
| 10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 58 | 
| 11 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 57 | 
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 57 | 
| 13 | Grimsby Town | 43 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 55 | 
| 14 | Newport CountyNewport | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 53 | 
| 15 | Gillingham | 44 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 52 | 
| 16 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 44 | 15 | 7 | 22 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 52 | 
| 17 | Walsall | 44 | 11 | 18 | 15 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 51 | 
| 18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 51 | 
| 19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 44 | 12 | 13 | 19 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 49 | 
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 47 | 
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 43 | 10 | 15 | 18 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 45 | 
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 44 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 45 | 
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 44 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 48 | 76 | -28 | 39 | 
| R | Rochdale | 44 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 34 | 
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