Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 44.88%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 27.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Colchester United |
| 44.88% ( | 28.01% ( | 27.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.55% ( | 60.45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.42% ( | 80.58% ( |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.12% ( | 26.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.81% ( | 62.19% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.49% ( | 38.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.74% ( | 75.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 13.6% ( 2-0 @ 8.94% ( 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 3-2 @ 1.78% ( 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 4-1 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 44.88% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0-0 @ 10.35% ( 2-2 @ 4.07% ( Other @ 0.61% Total : 28% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0-3 @ 1.5% ( 2-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 1.57% Total : 27.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 77 |
| 2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 39 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 70 |
| 3 | Stevenage | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 39 | 18 | 12 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 66 |
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 39 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 64 |
| 7 | Salford City | 39 | 18 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 63 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 59 | 46 | 13 | 61 |
| 9 | BarrowBarrow | 39 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 58 |
| 10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 57 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 51 |
| 12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 39 | 15 | 6 | 18 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 51 |
| 13 | Walsall | 39 | 11 | 17 | 11 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 50 |
| 14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 39 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 50 |
| 15 | Grimsby Town | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 48 |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 40 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 46 |
| 17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 45 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 44 |
| 19 | Gillingham | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 44 |
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 39 |
| 21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 39 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 38 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 39 | 9 | 10 | 20 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 37 |
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 39 | 7 | 14 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 35 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 39 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 59 | -25 | 29 |
| > Full Version | |||||||||
