

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 45.01% ( | 24.86% ( | 30.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.22% ( | 46.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.96% ( | 69.04% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% ( | 20.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.48% ( | 53.52% ( |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.02% ( | 28.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.12% ( | 64.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 2-0 @ 7.43% ( 3-1 @ 4.81% ( 3-0 @ 3.88% ( 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 4-2 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 45.01% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 3-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0-2 @ 4.63% ( 1-3 @ 3% ( 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0-3 @ 1.91% ( 1-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 66 | 40 | 26 | 63 |
| 2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 58 |
| 3 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 63 | 52 | 11 | 58 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 45 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 57 |
| 6 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 55 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 43 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 34 |
| 9 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 31 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 31 |
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