With seven wins and six losses to their name on the road this season - while conceding plenty of goals in the process - Inter have not travelled well throughout this Serie A season.
However, they are apparently running into form at just the right moment. As Roma rarely concede much at the Olimpico, a single goal could therefore separate the sides on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Roma had a probability of 25.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Roma win it was 1-0 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.23) 
