Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 4, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma
0 - 3
Inter Milan
We said: Roma 1-2 Inter Milan
Inter's greatest foes Milan last punctured Roma's excellent home record in Serie A, and the impressive Nerazzurri can make it a double triumph for the second city on Saturday. Inzaghi has certainly put his own stamp on things in the champions' dugout, and the deeper, more harmonious squad at his disposal will help him overcome Mourinho's men in a tightly-fought capital skirmish. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 29.7% | 24.19% | 46.11% |
| Both teams to score 58.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
