

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Roma had a probability of 18.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Roma win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Roma | 
| 61.39% | 19.96% | 18.65% | 
| Both teams to score 59.75% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 64% | 36% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 41.9% | 58.1% | 
| Inter Milan Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 88.66% | 11.34% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.97% | 36.03% | 
| Roma Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.39% | 32.61% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.85% | 69.15% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Inter Milan | Draw | Roma | 
| 2-1 @ 9.82% 2-0 @ 8.76% 1-0 @ 8.05% 3-1 @ 7.12% 3-0 @ 6.36% 3-2 @ 3.99% 4-1 @ 3.88% 4-0 @ 3.46% 4-2 @ 2.17% 5-1 @ 1.69% 5-0 @ 1.51% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.63% Total : 61.39% | 1-1 @ 9.02% 2-2 @ 5.5% 0-0 @ 3.7% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.96% | 1-2 @ 5.06% 0-1 @ 4.15% 0-2 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 3.18% Total : 18.65% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 33 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 69 | 23 | 46 | 80 | 
| 2 | Lazio | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 64 | 
| 3 | Inter Milan | 34 | 20 | 3 | 11 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 63 | 
| 4 | Juventus | 33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 63 | 
| 5 | AC Milan | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 39 | 16 | 61 | 
| 6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 58 | 
| 7 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 58 | 
| 8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 46 | 
| 9 | Bologna | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 45 | 
| 10 | Monza | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 45 | 
| 11 | Torino | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 45 | 
| 12 | Udinese | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 43 | 
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 43 | 
| 14 | Salernitana | 33 | 7 | 14 | 12 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 35 | 
| 15 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 35 | 
| 16 | Lecce | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 31 | 
| 17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 27 | 51 | -24 | 27 | 
| 18 | SpeziaSpezia | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 28 | 54 | -26 | 27 | 
| 19 | Cremonese | 33 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 29 | 59 | -30 | 21 | 
| 20 | Sampdoria | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 20 | 59 | -39 | 17 | 
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