Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 17.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.49%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 17.26% | 21.11% | 61.62% |
| Both teams to score 52.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.26% | 43.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.88% | 66.12% |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.23% | 38.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.49% | 75.5% |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.33% | 13.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.13% | 40.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Spezia | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 1-0 @ 5.02% 2-1 @ 4.73% 2-0 @ 2.38% 3-1 @ 1.5% 3-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.15% Total : 17.26% | 1-1 @ 9.99% 0-0 @ 5.3% 2-2 @ 4.71% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.11% | 0-1 @ 10.54% 0-2 @ 10.49% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-3 @ 6.96% 1-3 @ 6.6% 0-4 @ 3.46% 1-4 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 3.13% 2-4 @ 1.56% 0-5 @ 1.38% 1-5 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.97% Total : 61.61% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 65 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 50 |
| 3 | Lazio | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 48 |
| 4 | Roma | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 47 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 42 |
| 7 | Juventus | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 35 |
| 8 | Bologna | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 35 |
| 9 | Torino | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 | Udinese | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 32 |
| 11 | Monza | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | Fiorentina | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 31 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Empoli | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 |
| 15 | Lecce | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 27 |
| 16 | Salernitana | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 25 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 24 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 18 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 25 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 12 |
| 20 | Cremonese | 25 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 21 | 46 | -25 | 12 |
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