Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 68.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 11.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.07%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.