Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 66.51%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 14.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Spezia |
66.51% | 18.71% | 14.77% |
Both teams to score 55.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.51% | 37.49% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.28% | 59.72% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.54% | 10.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.94% | 34.06% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.94% | 38.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.18% | 74.82% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Spezia |
2-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 9.8% 1-0 @ 8.99% 3-0 @ 7.64% 3-1 @ 7.38% 4-0 @ 4.31% 4-1 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 3.56% 4-2 @ 2.01% 5-0 @ 1.95% 5-1 @ 1.88% 5-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.78% Total : 66.51% | 1-1 @ 8.68% 2-2 @ 4.73% 0-0 @ 3.98% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.71% | 1-2 @ 4.19% 0-1 @ 3.84% 0-2 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.53% 1-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.01% Total : 14.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 29 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 66 | 21 | 45 | 74 |
2 | Lazio | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 61 |
3 | Roma | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 53 |
4 | AC Milan | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 52 |
5 | Inter Milan | 29 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 48 |
7 | Juventus | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 44 |
8 | Bologna | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 43 |
9 | Fiorentina | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 41 |
10 | Udinese | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 39 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 38 |
12 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 37 |
13 | Monza | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 35 |
14 | Empoli | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 32 |
15 | Salernitana | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 29 |
16 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 27 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 22 |
19 | Cremonese | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 27 | 54 | -27 | 19 |
20 | Sampdoria | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 50 | -32 | 15 |
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