Cremonese's victory last weekend has given them a timely boost as they embark on a crucial run of fixtures in which they cannot afford to drop points if they wish to avoid an immediate return to Serie B.
Empoli have shown signs of improvement in their last two matches, and although they beat Cremonese on home soil earlier this season, they may have to settle for a share of the spoils on Friday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cremonese in this match.
-0.05) 
0.07) 
