Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 19.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.