Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 55.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 20.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Cremonese win it was 1-0 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.