Kayserispor have been impressive on the road this season, but they did come unstuck in their most recent away trip, losing 4-1 away at second-placed Fenerbahce.
With Galatasaray going strong at the top of the table, it would be unwise to back anything other than a home victory, and they could win by a comfortable margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 75.71%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 9.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 1-2 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
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