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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
32.25% (![]() | 23.91% (![]() | 43.84% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.56% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.45% (![]() | 41.55% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.05% (![]() | 63.95% (![]() |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.95% | 25.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.28% (![]() | 59.72% (![]() |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.79% (![]() | 19.2% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.11% (![]() | 50.89% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 7.61% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.66% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.61% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.9% 3-0 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.25% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 6.28% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.81% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.59% ( ![]() Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 9.07% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.94% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.55% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.99% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.42% ( ![]() Other @ 3.28% Total : 43.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |