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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
35.72% (![]() | 26.46% (![]() | 37.82% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.64% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.82% (![]() | 52.18% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.11% (![]() | 73.89% (![]() |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.94% (![]() | 28.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.29% (![]() | 63.71% (![]() |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.17% (![]() | 26.83% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.87% (![]() | 62.13% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
1-0 @ 9.57% (![]() 2-1 @ 8% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.08% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.72% | 1-1 @ 12.58% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.53% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 9.9% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.28% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.51% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 21 | 21 |
2 | FC Twente | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 18 |
3 | Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 17 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 16 |
5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
9 | Heracles | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
10 | Ajax | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
13 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 6 |
14 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 6 |
15 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
16 | Vitesse | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 3 |
17 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 3 |
18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |