

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 63.11%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 15.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Nantes |
| 63.11% ( | 20.99% ( | 15.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.37% ( | 45.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.04% ( | 67.96% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.18% ( | 13.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.83% ( | 41.17% ( |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.38% ( | 41.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.9% ( | 78.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 11.38% ( 2-0 @ 11.26% ( 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 3-0 @ 7.43% ( 3-1 @ 6.51% ( 4-0 @ 3.68% ( 4-1 @ 3.22% ( 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 5-0 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 5-1 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 63.11% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 2-2 @ 4.33% ( Other @ 0.93% Total : 20.99% | 0-1 @ 5.04% ( 1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0-2 @ 2.21% ( 1-3 @ 1.28% ( 2-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 1.73% Total : 15.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 80 | 26 | 54 | 74 |
| 2 | MonacoMonaco | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 53 |
| 3 | Marseille | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Lyon | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 51 |
| 5 | Lille | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 50 |
| 6 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 50 |
| 7 | Nice | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 48 |
| 8 | Brest | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 44 |
| 9 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Rennes | 29 | 11 | 2 | 16 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 35 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 34 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 30 |
| 14 | Angers | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 30 |
| 15 | Reims | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 29 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 32 | 62 | -30 | 27 |
| 17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 31 | 67 | -36 | 24 |
| 18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 21 | 66 | -45 | 15 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
