Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 37.69% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | York City |
37.69% (![]() | 24% (![]() | 38.3% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.47% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.13% (![]() | 40.87% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.74% (![]() | 63.26% (![]() |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.25% (![]() | 21.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.07% (![]() | 54.92% (![]() |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.55% (![]() | 21.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.53% (![]() | 54.46% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | York City |
2-1 @ 8.36% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.12% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.43% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.25% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.27% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.7% | 1-1 @ 10.95% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.43% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.68% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 8.43% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.18% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.53% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.66% Total : 38.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 44 | 29 | 9 | 6 | 90 | 38 | 52 | 96 |
2 | York City | 44 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 91 | 42 | 49 | 90 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 21 | 16 | 7 | 67 | 41 | 26 | 79 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 44 | 18 | 16 | 10 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 70 |
5 | Rochdale | 43 | 19 | 11 | 13 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 44 | 18 | 13 | 13 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 67 |
7 | Gateshead | 44 | 19 | 9 | 16 | 75 | 66 | 9 | 66 |
8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 44 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 64 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 44 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 66 | 55 | 11 | 63 |
10 | Tamworth | 44 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 60 | 68 | -8 | 60 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 44 | 14 | 17 | 13 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 59 |
12 | Eastleigh | 44 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 58 |
13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 43 | 16 | 9 | 18 | 60 | 63 | -3 | 57 |
14 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 56 |
15 | Woking | 44 | 13 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 56 |
16 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 56 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 78 | -11 | 54 |
18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 53 |
19 | Boston UnitedBoston | 44 | 14 | 10 | 20 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 52 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 44 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 72 | -19 | 50 |
21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 44 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 48 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 75 | -23 | 46 |
23 | Fylde | 44 | 11 | 7 | 26 | 47 | 78 | -31 | 40 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 44 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 38 | 94 | -56 | 22 |
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