Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 17
May 21, 2025 at 4pm UK
Ratinan Stadion

Ilves
3 - 0
KuPS

Jukkola (56'), Rale (70'), Soderback (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Oksanen (85')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Ilves and KuPS.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ilves

All competitions
Last Game: Inter Turku 3-1 Ilves
Saturday, May 17 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

KuPS

All competitions
Last Game: Haka 1-3 KuPS
Friday, May 16 at 6pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for KuPS had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest KuPS win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.

Result
IlvesDrawKuPS
42.11% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)25.29% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)32.61% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 55.91% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.31% (0.024000000000001 0.02)47.7% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.11% (0.023 0.02)69.89% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.44% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)22.57% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.84% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)56.16% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
KuPS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2% (0.042999999999992 0.04)27.8% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (0.054000000000002 0.05)63.39% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ilves 42.11%
    KuPS 32.61%
    Draw 25.28%
IlvesDrawKuPS
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 42.11%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.14% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.27% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 32.61%

Head to Head
Sep 24, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 2
Ilves
1-0
KuPS
Jukkola (37')
Virtanen (90+2')

Ruoppi (31'), Saarinen (54')
Aug 18, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 20
KuPS
1-0
Ilves
Pennanen (73')
Vidjeskog (10'), Siltanen (87')

Pikkarainen (26'), Arifi (86'), Atanga (90+4')
May 31, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 9
Ilves
1-2
KuPS
Jorginho (34')
Jorginho (28')
Jorginho (63')
Muzinga (6'), Savolainen (90+4')
Antwi (24'), Hamalainen (50'), Oksanen (74'), Heinonen (90+4')
Aug 13, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 19
Ilves
0-3
KuPS

Aspegren (34'), Jorginho (45+1'), Miettunen (78')
Jervis (2'), Vidjeskog (45+1' pen.), Bispo (90+1')
Popovits (21')
Apr 23, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 3
KuPS
1-0
Ilves
Antwi (82')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1KuPSKuPS11722169723
2Inter Turku96301861221
3IlvesIlves106132112919
4HJK Helsinki1052321101117
5SJKSJK114341717015
6Vaasan PalloseuraVPS94231414014
7HakaHaka93241214-211
8Gnistan93241215-311
9IFK MariehamnMariehamn103251120-911
10Jaro9225711-48
11KTP9135922-136
12Oulu101271321-85
> Finnish Veikkausliiga Full Table


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