Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 20
Aug 18, 2024 at 2pm UK
Savon Sanomat Areena

KuPS
1 - 0
Ilves

Pennanen (73')
Vidjeskog (10'), Siltanen (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pikkarainen (26'), Arifi (86'), Atanga (90+4')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between KuPS and Ilves.

Form, Standings, Stats

KuPS

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Haka 2-2 KuPS
Sunday, August 11 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Ilves

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Djurgarden 3-1 Ilves
Thursday, August 15 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 52.39%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.

Result
KuPSDrawIlves
52.39% (-0.432 -0.43)22.7% (0.207 0.21)24.91% (0.225 0.22)
Both teams to score 59.3% (-0.481 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.21% (-0.747 -0.75)40.79% (0.748 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.82% (-0.768 -0.77)63.18% (0.769 0.77)
KuPS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.36% (-0.413 -0.41)15.65% (0.413 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.34% (-0.772 -0.77)44.67% (0.773 0.77)
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.3% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)29.7% (0.225 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.24% (-0.275 -0.27)65.76% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
Score Analysis
    KuPS 52.39%
    Ilves 24.91%
    Draw 22.7%
KuPSDrawIlves
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.62% (0.171 0.17)
2-0 @ 8% (0.046 0.05)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.78% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 52.39%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.65% (0.157 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.7%
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.048 0.05)
0-1 @ 5.64% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 3.42% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 24.91%

Head to Head
May 31, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 9
Ilves
1-2
KuPS
Jorginho (34')
Jorginho (28')
Jorginho (63')
Muzinga (6'), Savolainen (90+4')
Antwi (24'), Hamalainen (50'), Oksanen (74'), Heinonen (90+4')
Aug 13, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 19
Ilves
0-3
KuPS

Aspegren (34'), Jorginho (45+1'), Miettunen (78')
Jervis (2'), Vidjeskog (45+1' pen.), Bispo (90+1')
Popovits (21')
Apr 23, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 3
KuPS
1-0
Ilves
Antwi (82')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
KuPS
0-0
Ilves
Carrillo (56'), Tomas (89')
Katz (26'), Yakubu (40'), Pennanen (90+2')
Apr 9, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 2
Ilves
1-2
KuPS
Pennanen (43')
Manga (84')
Vayrynen (6', 76')
Ricardo (48'), Tomas (72'), Popovits (80')