Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 2nd Leg
May 21, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Eladio de Barros Carvalho
Nautico1 - 2Sao Paulo
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Nautico and Sao Paulo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Gremio
Sunday, May 18 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, May 18 at 1am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
8
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 36%. A win for Nautico had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.08%) and 1-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Nautico win was 1-0 (12.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nautico | Draw | Sao Paulo |
33.55% ( -0.01) | 30.46% | 36% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 40.9% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
