Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
Apr 30, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Sao Paulo2 - 1Nautico
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Sao Paulo and Nautico.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ceara 1-1 Sao Paulo
Saturday, April 26 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, April 26 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
6
Last Game: Vitoria 0-2 Nautico
Wednesday, March 12 at 10pm in Copa do Brasil
Wednesday, March 12 at 10pm in Copa do Brasil
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 77.44%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Nautico had a probability of 7.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.46%) and 3-0 (11.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Nautico win it was 0-1 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Nautico |
77.44% ( 0.17) | 15.02% ( -0.1) | 7.54% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 42.2% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
