Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 2nd Leg
May 21, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Juscelino Kubitschek
Aparecidense1 - 4Fluminense
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Aparecidense and Fluminense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Juventude 1-1 Fluminense
Sunday, May 18 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, May 18 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
11
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 52.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Aparecidense had a probability of 21.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.72%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for an Aparecidense win it was 1-0 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aparecidense | Draw | Fluminense |
21.44% ( -0.45) | 26.4% ( -0.34) | 52.16% ( 0.79) |
| Both teams to score 44.04% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
