We said: Tunisia 2-1 Burkina Faso
Although Tunisia are yet to win against Burkina Faso in previous meetings, this feels like a timely opportunity for them to finally break that hoodoo, especially with the confidence of home support and recent form on their side, though they may still concede given that the visitors have found the net in each of their last six matches across all competitions.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 43.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 27.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.