MX23RW : Tuesday, June 3 19:11:40| >> :60:621:621:
Tunisia national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 2, 2025 at 6.30pm UK
Stade olympique Hammadi Agrebi
Burkina Faso national football team

Tunisia
2 - 0
Burkina Faso

Tapsoba (60' og.), Mastouri (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Simpore (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Tunisia and Burkina Faso, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Tunisia 2-0 Malawi
Monday, March 24 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 1-2 Burkina Faso
Monday, March 24 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Tunisia 2-1 Burkina Faso

Although Tunisia are yet to win against Burkina Faso in previous meetings, this feels like a timely opportunity for them to finally break that hoodoo, especially with the confidence of home support and recent form on their side, though they may still concede given that the visitors have found the net in each of their last six matches across all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 43.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 27.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.

Result
TunisiaDrawBurkina Faso
43.31% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 28.7% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 27.98% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 43.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.66% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)62.34% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.01%81.98% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.39% (0.0010000000000048 0)28.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.59% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)64.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)38.83% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)75.56% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Tunisia 43.31%
    Burkina Faso 27.97%
    Draw 28.7%
TunisiaDrawBurkina Faso
1-0 @ 13.9%
2-0 @ 8.7% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 8.23%
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 43.31%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 11.1%
2-2 @ 3.89%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.7%
0-1 @ 10.5%
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.97% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.57%
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 27.97%

How you voted: Tunisia vs Burkina Faso

Tunisia
73.2%
Draw
14.6%
Burkina Faso
12.2%
41
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 7pm
Quarter-Finals
Burkina Faso
1-0
Tunisia
Ouattara (45+3')
Koffi (44'), Tapsoba (67'), Bayala (80'), Bande (88')
Ouattara (83')

Laidouni (47')
Jan 28, 2017 4pm
Quarter-Finals
Burkina Faso
2-0
Tunisia
Bance (81'), Nakoulma (85')
Kabore (19'), Coulibaly (67'), Toure (83'), Nakoulma (86')

Abdennour (22'), Ali Yacoubi (34'), Ben Yousseff (38')
rhs 2.0
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