World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2025 at 9pm UK

Stade olympique Hammadi Agrebi

Tunisia
2 - 0
Malawi

Jaziri (86'), Achouri (90+2' pen.)
Ben Slimane (45+2'), Bronn (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Banega Aaron (20'), Kawonga (23'), Chirwa (52'), Thole (85')
Banega Aaron (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Tunisia and Malawi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tunisia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Liberia 0-1 Tunisia
Wednesday, March 19 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Malawi

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Malawi 0-1 Namibia
Thursday, March 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 68.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 10.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.45%) and 3-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Tunisia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Tunisia.

Result
Tunisia	Draw	Malawi
68.25% ( -0.07)	21.25% ( 0.04)	10.51% ( 0.03)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Tunisia	Draw	Malawi
1-0 @ 16.91% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 15.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.54% 3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 68.24%	1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.36% ( 0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.25%	0-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.4% Total : 10.51%