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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny
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Burundi0 - 0Malawi
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Burundi 0-2 Burkina Faso
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 | 
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 | 
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 | 
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 | 
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Burundi had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Burundi win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Burundi | Draw | Malawi | 
| 34.48% (  -0.33) | 27.31% (  -0.07) | 38.22% (  0.4) | 
| Both teams to score 49.81% (  0.18) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 44.31% (  0.25) | 55.7% (  -0.25) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 23.16% (  0.2) | 76.84% (  -0.2) | 
| Burundi Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.45% (  -0.09) | 30.56% (  0.09) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.22% (  -0.1) | 66.79% (  0.11) | 
| Malawi Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.73% (  0.36) | 28.27% (  -0.35) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.02% (  0.45) | 63.98% (  -0.45) | 
| Score Analysis | 
     Burundi 34.48%
     Malawi 38.21%
     Draw 27.3%
| Burundi | Draw | Malawi | 
| 1-0 @ 10.24% (  -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.67% (  -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.07% (  -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.03% (  -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.4% (  -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.92% (  0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 34.48% | 1-1 @ 12.93% (  -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.64% (  -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.85% (  0.03) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.3% | 0-1 @ 10.91% (  0.01) 1-2 @ 8.17% (  0.06) 0-2 @ 6.89% (  0.07) 1-3 @ 3.44% (  0.06) 0-3 @ 2.9% (  0.06) 2-3 @ 2.04% (  0.03) 1-4 @ 1.09% (  0.03) 0-4 @ 0.92% (  0.03) Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.21% | 
How you voted: Burundi vs Malawi
Burundi
45.5%Draw
36.4%Malawi
18.2%22
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2024 2pm
 Group Stage
 Malawi
2-3
Burundi
 Idana (22' og.), Claude Girumugisha (33'), Elie Eldhino (87')
Madjaliwa Mussa (21'), Nsabiyumva (90+4'), Ndayishimiye (90+4')
Madjaliwa Mussa (21'), Nsabiyumva (90+4'), Ndayishimiye (90+4')
Form Guide
 rhs 2.0 
 
 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Liverpool | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 84 | 
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 74 | 
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72 | 44 | 28 | 71 | 
| 4 | Chelsea | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 69 | 
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 66 | 
| 6 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 66 | 
| 7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 65 | 
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 61 | 
| 9 | Bournemouth | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 56 | 
| 10 | Brentford | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 66 | 57 | 9 | 56 | 
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 54 | 
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 53 | 
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 48 | 
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 43 | 
| 15 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 42 | 
| 16 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 42 | 
| 17 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 38 | 
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 25 | 
| R | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 82 | -46 | 22 | 
| R | Southampton | 38 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 12 | 
| > Premier League Full Table | |||||||||

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