Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 8
May 11, 2025 at 9.30pm UK
Arena MRV
Fluminense

Atletico Mineiro
3 - 2
Fluminense

Rubens (77'), Santos (84'), Gomes (90+4')
Rubens (45+1'), Cuello (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Canobbio (56'), Serna (88')
Xavier (33'), Nonato (67')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Fluminense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Deportes Iquique 3-2 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, May 8 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Fluminense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1-0 Fluminense
Friday, May 9 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 53.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 20.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawFluminense
53.2% (0.089999999999996 0.09)26.27% (0.071999999999999 0.07)20.54% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 43.28% (-0.377 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.66% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)59.34% (0.388 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.27% (-0.296 -0.3)79.73% (0.301 0.3)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54% (-0.12100000000001 -0.12)22.47% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.99% (-0.185 -0.19)56.01% (0.191 0.19)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.82% (-0.395 -0.4)44.18% (0.4 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.73% (-0.325 -0.32)80.27% (0.33 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 53.2%
    Fluminense 20.54%
    Draw 26.26%
Atletico MineiroDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 14.82% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 11.06% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.51% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.06%
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 53.2%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 9.93% (0.145 0.15)
2-2 @ 3.69% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 8.11% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.95% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 0.9% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 20.54%

Head to Head
Sep 25, 2024 11pm
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Atletico Mineiro
2-0
Fluminense
Deyverson (50', 88')
Hulk (28'), Bernard (44'), Deyverson (63')

Fuentes (74'), Fabio (84'), Martinelli (90'), Arias (90+9')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2024 11pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Fluminense
1-0
Atletico Mineiro
Lima (87')
Lima (80'), Thiago (90'), Palacios (90+4')

Franco (78'), Marcelo (90+4')
> Preview
Aug 25, 2024 1am
Gameweek 24
Atletico Mineiro
0-2
Fluminense

Fuchs (23'), Lyanco (42'), Rubens (63'), Arana (78'), Paulinho (81')
Serna (23'), Arias (59')
Ganso (43'), Martinelli (71'), Menezes (74'), Fabio (90+3')
May 4, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 5
Fluminense
2-2
Atletico Mineiro
Cano (4'), Augusto (61')
Barbosa (12'), Arias (20'), Cano (31'), Melo (43'), Ganso (45+5')
Vargas (73', 79')
Jemerson (45+5'), Paulinho (51')
Oct 29, 2023 1am
Gameweek 30
Atletico Mineiro
2-0
Fluminense
Paulinho (62', 83')
Rubens (52'), Jemerson (59')

Lele (49'), Diniz (50')