Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Mirassol had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 1-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Mirassol win was 1-0 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Mirassol	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
28.75% ( -2.51)	28.47% ( -0.35)	42.78% ( 2.85)

Both teams to score 44.68% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.73% (

0.4)

61.27% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.8% (

0.3)

81.19% (

-0.3)

Mirassol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.39% (

-1.72)

37.61% (

1.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.61% (

-1.72)

74.39% (

1.72)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.61% (

1.8)

28.38% (

-1.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.87% (

2.22)

64.12% (

-2.22)

Score Analysis

Mirassol 28.75%

Atletico Mineiro 42.77%

Draw 28.46%

Mirassol	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.67) 2-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.58) 3-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.28) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.7% Total : 28.75%	1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.46%	0-1 @ 13.44% ( 0.47) 0-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.69) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.32) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.45) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.3) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.19) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.14) Other @ 1.65% Total : 42.77%