MX23RW : Monday, April 28 03:21:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
Apr 16, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Jose Maria de Campos Maia
Gremio

Mirassol
4 - 1
Gremio

Borges (3', 85'), Reinaldo (21' pen., 78')
Henrique Soares Firmino (64'), Borges (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Braithwaite (82')
Braithwaite (15'), Volpi (18'), Villasanti (60'), Edenilson (67')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Mirassol and Gremio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bahia 1-1 Mirassol
Sunday, April 13 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 0-2 Flamengo
Sunday, April 13 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirassol win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirassol would win this match.

Result
MirassolDrawGremio
37.81% (1.795 1.8) 28.1% (0.487 0.49) 34.08% (-2.285 -2.29)
Both teams to score 47.36% (-1.61 -1.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.26% (-1.936 -1.94)58.74% (1.936 1.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.74% (-1.529 -1.53)79.26% (1.527 1.53)
Mirassol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (0.14099999999999 0.14)29.99% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89% (0.17 0.17)66.11% (-0.17 -0.17)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.65% (-2.442 -2.44)32.35% (2.44 2.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.14% (-2.848 -2.85)68.86% (2.848 2.85)
Score Analysis
    Mirassol 37.8%
    Gremio 34.08%
    Draw 28.1%
MirassolDrawGremio
1-0 @ 11.68% (0.87 0.87)
2-1 @ 7.94% (0.113 0.11)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.552 0.55)
3-1 @ 3.19% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.82% (0.231 0.23)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 37.8%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 9.7% (0.69 0.69)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.243 -0.24)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.1%
0-1 @ 10.94% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.435 -0.44)
0-2 @ 6.18% (-0.387 -0.39)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.369 -0.37)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.317 -0.32)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.215 -0.22)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 34.08%

How you voted: Mirassol vs Gremio

Mirassol
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Gremio
33.3%
6
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FlamengoFlamengo64201521314
2PalmeirasPalmeiras641173413
3BragantinoBragantino641185313
4Cruzeiro631276110
5Fluminense631266010
6InternacionalInternacional62318449
7Bahia623167-19
8Botafogo62226428
9CearaCeara62228718
10Sao Paulo61506518
11Vasco da GamaVasco621368-27
12Corinthians6213610-47
13JuventudeJuventude6213714-77
14Mirassol614111927
15FortalezaFortaleza61325506
16Vitoria613279-26
17Atletico Mineiro613268-26
18Gremio6123511-65
19SantosSantos611479-24
20Sport RecifeSport602438-52


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