MX23RW : Monday, May 26 00:29:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
Apr 16, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Jose Maria de Campos Maia
Gremio

Mirassol
4 - 1
Gremio

Borges (3', 85'), Reinaldo (21' pen., 78')
Henrique Soares Firmino (64'), Borges (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Braithwaite (82')
Braithwaite (15'), Volpi (18'), Villasanti (60'), Edenilson (67')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Mirassol and Gremio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bahia 1-1 Mirassol
Sunday, April 13 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 0-2 Flamengo
Sunday, April 13 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirassol win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirassol would win this match.

Result
MirassolDrawGremio
37.81% (1.795 1.8) 28.1% (0.487 0.49) 34.08% (-2.285 -2.29)
Both teams to score 47.36% (-1.61 -1.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.26% (-1.936 -1.94)58.74% (1.936 1.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.74% (-1.529 -1.53)79.26% (1.527 1.53)
Mirassol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (0.14099999999999 0.14)29.99% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89% (0.17 0.17)66.11% (-0.17 -0.17)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.65% (-2.442 -2.44)32.35% (2.44 2.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.14% (-2.848 -2.85)68.86% (2.848 2.85)
Score Analysis
    Mirassol 37.8%
    Gremio 34.08%
    Draw 28.1%
MirassolDrawGremio
1-0 @ 11.68% (0.87 0.87)
2-1 @ 7.94% (0.113 0.11)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.552 0.55)
3-1 @ 3.19% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.82% (0.231 0.23)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 37.8%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 9.7% (0.69 0.69)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.243 -0.24)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.1%
0-1 @ 10.94% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.435 -0.44)
0-2 @ 6.18% (-0.387 -0.39)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.369 -0.37)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.317 -0.32)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.215 -0.22)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 34.08%

How you voted: Mirassol vs Gremio

Mirassol
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Gremio
33.3%
6
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PalmeirasPalmeiras10712116522
2FlamengoFlamengo106311941521
3Cruzeiro9522137617
4BragantinoBragantino9522118317
5Fluminense105231312117
6CearaCeara9432117415
7Bahia10433910-115
8Corinthians104241214-214
9Mirassol103521612414
10Atletico Mineiro103521010014
11Botafogo9333105512
12Gremio10334914-512
13Sao Paulo1026289-112
14InternacionalInternacional102531214-211
15Vasco da GamaVasco103161113-210
16FortalezaFortaleza9243108210
17Vitoria102351014-49
18SantosSantos10226811-38
19JuventudeJuventude9225821-138
20Sport RecifeSport10037517-123


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