Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 3, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Sportivo1 - 2Gremio
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Sportivo Luqueno and Gremio.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gremio 2-1 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, March 29 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, March 29 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
2
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 14.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.52%) and 1-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Sportivo Luqueno win it was 1-0 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sportivo Luqueno | Draw | Gremio |
14.93% ( 2.01) | 24.87% ( 1.31) | 60.2% ( -3.32) |
| Both teams to score 37.76% ( 1.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
