Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sportivo Ameliano win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sportivo Ameliano win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Sportivo Luqueno win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.