Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 30, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Fluminense2 - 0Once Caldas
Martinelli (2'), Serna (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Fluminense and Once Caldas.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Vasco
Saturday, May 24 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, May 24 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Once Caldas 2-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Friday, May 16 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, May 16 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 68.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Once Caldas had a probability of 11.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.1%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Once Caldas win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Fluminense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fluminense | Draw | Once Caldas |
68.82% ( -0.11) | 19.49% ( 0.04) | 11.7% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 43.91% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.8% | 48.2% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.64% ( -0) | 70.35% ( -0) |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.07% ( -0.03) | 12.93% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.63% ( -0.07) | 39.37% ( 0.06) |
| Once Caldas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.43% ( 0.12) | 49.57% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.64% ( 0.09) | 84.36% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Fluminense 68.81%
Once Caldas 11.7%
Draw 19.49%
| Fluminense | Draw | Once Caldas |
| 2-0 @ 13.41% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 13.1% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.42% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.28% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.34% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 68.81% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.58% Total : 19.49% | 0-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 11.7% |
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2025 1.30am
Group Stage
Once Caldas
0-1
Fluminense
Cuesta (7'), Garcia Castillo (68'), Garcia Rojas (70'), Manuel Arteaga Arboleda (90+2')
Form Guide
