MX23RW : Thursday, April 24 21:35:34| >> :60:91:91:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 23, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Hernando Siles

Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2 - 3
Once Caldas

Becerra (70'), Villamil (80')
Hector Seimandi (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Moreno (43', 73', 88')
Arley Zapata Ramirez (7')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Gualberto Villarroel SJ and Once Caldas.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Fluminense 5-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Friday, April 11 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Union Espanola 0-2 Once Caldas
Thursday, April 10 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Once Caldas had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Once Caldas win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Gualberto Villarroel SJDrawOnce Caldas
45.75% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07) 24.66% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 29.59% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 56.57% (-0.117 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.82% (-0.16 -0.16)46.18% (0.15499999999999 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.52% (-0.151 -0.15)68.48% (0.146 0.15)
Gualberto Villarroel SJ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.73% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)20.27% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.38% (-0.152 -0.15)52.62% (0.147 0.15)
Once Caldas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.95% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)29.05% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.04% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)64.96% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Gualberto Villarroel SJ 45.75%
    Once Caldas 29.59%
    Draw 24.65%
Gualberto Villarroel SJDrawOnce Caldas
1-0 @ 9.4% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 45.75%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.89% (0.038 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 7.28% (0.036 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.5% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.59%

rhs 2.0
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4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331851062441859
6Chelsea33169858401857
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Bournemouth3313101052401249
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10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton33121295353048
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Everton33814113440-638
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd33108153846-838
15Wolverhampton WanderersWolves33115174861-1338
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs331141861511037
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20Southampton3325262478-5411


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