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Major League Soccer

St Louis City
Major League Soccer
May 31, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
CityPark
San Jose Earthquakes

St Louis City
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Klauss (45+2'), Lowen (90+2' pen.)
Klauss (30'), Silva (43'), Wallem (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martinez (82')
Floriani (34'), Edwards Jr. (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between St Louis City and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 1-0 St Louis City
Sunday, May 25 at 2.30am in MLS Playoffs

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 0-1 Earthquakes
Thursday, May 29 at 3.15am in MLS Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Louis City in this match.

Result
St Louis CityDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
44.19% (-2.428 -2.43)24.16% (0.515 0.52)31.64% (1.914 1.91)
Both teams to score 59.4% (-0.75599999999999 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.05% (-1.454 -1.45)42.95% (1.454 1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.65% (-1.457 -1.46)65.35% (1.456 1.46)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.37% (-1.585 -1.58)19.62% (1.584 1.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.42% (-2.645 -2.65)51.58% (2.645 2.65)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (0.506 0.51)26.09% (-0.506 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.85% (0.675 0.67)61.15% (-0.675 -0.68)
Score Analysis
    St Louis City 44.19%
    San Jose Earthquakes 31.64%
    Draw 24.16%
St Louis CityDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.198 -0.2)
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.121 0.12)
2-0 @ 6.79% (-0.248 -0.25)
3-1 @ 4.95% (-0.369 -0.37)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.332 -0.33)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.197 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.262 -0.26)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.22 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 44.19%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.32 0.32)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.12% (0.322 0.32)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.16%
1-2 @ 7.53% (0.319 0.32)
0-1 @ 6.88% (0.525 0.52)
0-2 @ 4.62% (0.414 0.41)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.189 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.07% (0.213 0.21)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.079 0.08)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 31.64%

How you voted: St Louis City vs Earthquakes

St Louis City
31.3%
Draw
31.3%
San Jose Earthquakes
37.5%
16
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 3.30am
Earthquakes
1-2
St Louis City
Ebobisse (40')
Teuchert (4'), Hartel (12' pen.)
Hartel (39')
> Preview
Jul 4, 2024 1.30am
St Louis City
2-0
Earthquakes
Lowen (28'), Kijima (41')
Reid (56'), Vassilev (61')

Lopez (66'), Costa (72')
> Preview
Jun 25, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
1-2
St Louis City
Monteiro (47')
Monteiro (49'), Tsakiris (84'), Akapo (90+1')
Adeniran (41', 58')
Jackson (59'), Pompeu (90+2'), Ostrak (90+5')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2023 12.30am
St Louis City
3-0
Earthquakes
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000
> Full Version


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