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Major League Soccer

Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
May 18, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Field
St Louis City

Minnesota Utd
3 - 0
St Louis City

Oluwaseyi (33', 33'), Pereyra (62', 62'), Gressel (78', 78')
Pereyra (3'), Pereyra (3')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Baumgartl (11'), Baumgartl (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS clash between Minnesota United and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 2-0 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, May 15 at 1.30am in MLS Playoffs

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 2-2 Kansas
Thursday, May 15 at 1.45am in MLS Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 68.22%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 13.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawSt Louis City
68.22% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)18.08% (0.018000000000001 0.02)13.7% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.04% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)36.96% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.86% (-0.061 -0.06)59.14% (0.058 0.06)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.11% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)9.89% (0.0229 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.23% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)32.77% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)39.2% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.09% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)75.91% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 68.21%
    St Louis City 13.7%
    Draw 18.08%
Minnesota UnitedDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.97% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 8% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.34% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 2.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 2.03% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 2.01% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 68.21%
1-1 @ 8.4% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.55%
0-0 @ 3.88% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.08%
1-2 @ 3.93% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-1 @ 3.63% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.7% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 13.7%

Head to Head
Oct 20, 2024 2am
Minnesota Utd
4-1
St Louis City
Lod (21'), Sang-bin (72', 84'), Kessler (78' og.)
Pereyra (59'), Yeboah (66')
Hartel (75')
Alm (74')
> Preview
Sep 15, 2024 1.30am
St Louis City
1-3
Minnesota Utd
Teuchert (4')
Lowen (90')
Hlongwane (24'), Reid (52' og.), Yeboah (62' pen.)
Boxall (20'), Sang-bin (90+3')
> Preview
Sep 24, 2023 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
1-2
St Louis City
Pukki (48' pen.)
St Clair (20'), Gregus (31'), Boxall (79'), Taylor (85')
Klauss (64'), Blom (73')
Yaro (29'), Burki (47'), Bell (59')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2023 1.30am
St Louis City
0-1
Minnesota Utd
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000
> Full Version


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