Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 52.35%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Minnesota United |
52.35% (![]() | 22.77% (![]() | 24.87% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.84% (![]() | 41.16% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.44% (![]() | 63.55% (![]() |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.21% (![]() | 15.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.07% (![]() | 44.93% (![]() |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.07% (![]() | 29.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.96% (![]() | 66.04% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | Minnesota United |
2-1 @ 9.71% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.72% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.05% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.98% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.95% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 3.61% Total : 52.35% | 1-1 @ 10.52% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.86% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.73% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.45% ( ![]() Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.77% | 1-2 @ 6.35% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.7% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.38% ( ![]() Other @ 3.1% Total : 24.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 27 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 26 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 26 |
4 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 24 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 24 |
6 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 22 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 22 |
9 | Orlando City | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 21 |
10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
11 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 21 |
12 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
13 | Toronto | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 13 |
14 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 25 | -18 | 6 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 28 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 28 |
3 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 22 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 17 |
8 | Dallas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 17 |
10 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 |
11 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 11 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 7 |
15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |