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Major League Soccer
Apr 6, 2025 at 8pm UK
Yankee Stadium
Minnesota United

NY City
1 - 2
Minnesota Utd

Parks (89')
Risa (36')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Oluwaseyi (1'), Trapp (29')
Boxall (43'), St Clair (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between New York City FC and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 4-3 NY City
Saturday, March 29 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-0 Salt Lake
Sunday, March 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-2 Minnesota United

Both sides have shown they can trade blows and be sharp in the attacking third this year, but the Loons have had an easier schedule compared to many of the other sides in the league so far, while the Boys in Blue have not shown they can consistently put their opponents away. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 52.35%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawMinnesota United
52.35% (0.266 0.27) 22.77% (-0.153 -0.15) 24.87% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 59% (0.403 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.84% (0.59 0.59)41.16% (-0.589 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.44% (0.595 0.59)63.55% (-0.59700000000001 -0.6)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.21% (0.30499999999999 0.3)15.79% (-0.306 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.07% (0.559 0.56)44.93% (-0.561 -0.56)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.07% (0.22500000000001 0.23)29.93% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.96% (0.27 0.27)66.04% (-0.271 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 52.35%
    Minnesota United 24.87%
    Draw 22.77%
New York City FCDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.98% (0.065 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.95% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.058 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.29% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.045 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 52.35%
1-1 @ 10.52% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.77%
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.7% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-2 @ 3.44% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.55% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 24.87%

How you voted: NY City vs Minnesota Utd

New York City FC
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Minnesota United
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2023 12.30am
NY City
0-2
Minnesota Utd

Sands (32'), Pellegrini (39')
Gregus (53'), Garcia (90+5')
Trapp (60'), Reynoso (62')
Apr 13, 2019 10pm
Gameweek 8
Minnesota Utd
3-3
NY City
Alonso (13'), Rodriguez (20'), Johnson (32' og.)
Alonso (8'), Calvo (70')
Castellanos (16'), Tajouri (18', 64')
Sep 30, 2018 1am
Gameweek 36
Minnesota Utd
2-1
NY City
Rodriguez (20', 36')
Warner (45'), Calvo (54'), Shuttleworth (89')
Warner (77')
Wallace (91')
Ring (21')
Jun 30, 2017 12.30am
NY City
3-1
Minnesota Utd
Callens (38'), Harrison (52'), Villa (63')
Wallace (0'), 68 (0'), Villa (45')
Ramirez (9')
Molino (23'), Venegas (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


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