Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 62.01%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 18.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 1-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.